Effect of Land Use and Land Cover Change on Inundation and Flood Loss Value in Lumajang District
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.56741/jnest.v5i01.1281Keywords:
Economic Loss, Flood, GIS, LULCCAbstract
This study examines the relationship between land cover change and the extent of inundation and the value of economic losses due to flooding in Lumajang district in 1995, 2014, and 2023. Using a spatial approach based on satellite imagery and hydraulic simulation, as well as the ECLAC method in calculating losses, this study shows that the loss of natural land cover, such as forests and wetlands, as well as the expansion of residential areas, contributed significantly to the increase in inundation intensity and economic losses. These findings are important for spatial planning that is adaptive to hydrometeorological disaster risks. In addition, this research also supports the implementation of mitigation policies based on spatial and hydrological data that are appropriate to the conditions of the Jatiroto watershed.
Downloads
References
N. Geng, G. Tian, and H. Zhang, "The spatial–temporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of coordinated development in the Yellow River Basin: Based on the perspective of flood-sediment transport, eco-environmental, and socio-economic subsystems," Ecological Indicators, vol. 176, p. 113673, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2025.113673 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2025.113673
A. C. Guzha, M. C. Rufino, S. Okoth, S. Jacobs, and R. L. B. Nóbrega, "Impacts of land use and land cover change on surface runoff, discharge and low flows: Evidence from East Africa," Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, vol. 15, pp. 49–67, 2018. h https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.142196 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2017.11.005
J. Tang, D. Liu, C. Shang, and J. Niu, "Impacts of land use change on surface infiltration capacity and urban flood risk in a representative karst mountain city over the last two decades," Journal of Cleaner Production, vol. 454, p. 142196, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2017.11.005 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.142196
B. Feng, Y. Zhang, and R. Bourke, "Urbanization impacts on flood risks based on urban growth data and coupled flood models," Natural Hazards, vol. 106, pp. 613–627, 2021. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-757-2016. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-020-04480-0
Q. Fang, L. Zhao, R. Hou, C. Fan, and J. Zhang, "Rainwater transformation to runoff and soil loss at the surface and belowground on soil-mantled karst slopes under rainfall simulation experiments," CATENA, vol. 215, p. 106316, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2022.106316 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2022.106316
R. E. Horton, "The role of infiltration in the hydrologic cycle," Transactions of the American Geophysical Union, vol. 14, pp. 446–460, 1933. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/TR014i001p00446
United States Department of Agriculture, Urban Hydrology for Small Watersheds (TR-55), Natural Resources Conservation Service, Conservation Engineering Division, Technical Release 55, June 1986.
D. Qiu, R. Xu, C. Wu, X. Mu, G. Zhao, and P. Gao, "Effects of vegetation restoration on soil infiltrability and preferential flow in hilly gully areas of the Loess Plateau, China," CATENA, vol. 221, Part A, p. 106770, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2022.106770 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2022.106770
E. Alshammari, A. Rahman, R. Rainis, N. Seri, dan N. Fuzi, "The Impacts of Land Use Changes in Urban Hydrology, Runoff and Flooding: A Review," Current Urban Studies, vol. 11, pp. 120–141, 2023. https://doi.org/10.4236/cus.2023.111007 DOI: https://doi.org/10.4236/cus.2023.111007
Y. Budiyono, J. C. J. H. Aerts, D. Tollenaar, and P. J. Ward, "River flood risk in Jakarta under scenarios of future change," Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, vol. 16, pp. 757–774, 2016. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-757-2016 DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-757-2016
T. Muhammad Taufik Nurcahyo, Very Dermawan, and Sumiadi, “Pengaruh Perubahan Tata Guna Lahan Terhadap Debit Banjir Dan Laju Erosi Di DAS Jatiroto”, jtresda, vol. 4, no. 2, pp. 1180–1191, Aug. 2024. https://doi.org/10.21776/ub.jtresda.2024.004.02.100 DOI: https://doi.org/10.21776/ub.jtresda.2024.004.02.100
R. Y. Arimbi, S. Sumiadi, and B. Winarta, “Pemodelan Aliran Sungai Jatiroto Menggunakan Software HEC-RAS 5.0.7”, jtresda, vol. 2, no. 2, p. 285, Jul. 2022. https://doi.org/10.21776/ub.jtresda.2022.002.02.23 DOI: https://doi.org/10.21776/ub.jtresda.2022.002.02.23
Hafidz, I. R., Evaluasi Kinerja Sub DAS Jatiroto Kabupaten Lumajang. Jember: Universitas Jember, 2022.
H. El-Bagoury and A. Gad, "Integrated hydrological modeling for watershed analysis, flood prediction, and mitigation using meteorological and morphometric data, SCS-CN, HEC-HMS/RAS, and QGIS," Water, vol. 16, no. 36, p. 196, Jan. 2024. https://doi.org/10.3390/w16020196 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/w16020356
R. S. Pirngadi, Rahmawaty, S. F. Ayu, and A. Rauf, "Estimation of loss of rice farmers due to flood at Krueng Kluet Watershed (with the ECLAC method approach)," IOP Conf. Ser.: Earth Environ. Sci., vol. 1302, no. 1, p. 012125, 2024. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1302/1/012125
I. G. N. Y. Jayantara, "Implementasi QGIS untuk mengestimasi kerugian ekonomi akibat banjir di Kabupaten Bandung," J. Pendidik. Teknol. dan Kejuruan, vol. 18, no. 2, pp. 205–214, Jul. 2020.
A. Wardhono and M. Rondhi, "Perhitungan kerusakan dan kerugian dalam perspektif ekonomi dan sosial dengan metode ECLAC pada bencana banjir bandang Panti, Kabupaten Jember–Jawa Timur," in Seminar Nasional Bahaya Banjir Sedimen, Magelang, Indonesia, Oct. 2010,
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
Categories
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Journal of Novel Engineering Science and Technology

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.






















